What Happened? Why the Polls Got It So WRONG!

Establishment Pollster on the morning of November 9, 2016

In all of the allegedly “scientific” polls published by the establishment media (CNN, ABC, CBS News, The Wall Street Journal, Fox News, etc.) participants are selected using a weighting factor that results in significantly more Democrats participating than Republicans. The justification is that more voters are registered as Democrats than Republicans which is true. Unfortunately for the pollsters, that method has been invalidated by 2016's unprecedented circumstances.

During the presidential primaries the relative number of party registrants proved worthless as a method of projecting vote totals. Final figures show that 749,790 more people voted in the Republican primaries (28,584,625) than in the Democrat primaries (27,834,835) with many Democrats “crossing over” to cast their ballots for Trump. Trump, incidentally, drew more primary election votes than any Republican candidate in history. Had the "scientific" network polls been weighted by primary participation rather than party registration, Hillary’s illusory big lead would never have appeared.

Blinded by their own biases, the mainstream media and the Clinton campaign are essentially repeating this mistake when they interpret the result of early voting. They assume that registered Democrats who vote are casting their ballots for Hillary and that registered Republicans who vote are voting for Trump. These assumptions are likely to prove false.

The relative size of rally crowds are instructive. Trump rallies usually fill stadiums whereas Hillary often struggles to fill college auditoriums. A recent Florida rally for Democrat vice presidential candidate Tim Kaine drew thirty people, most of whom were reporters and campaign staff. Another Kaine event, scheduled for this week, was abruptly cancelled without explanation.

Readily obtainable social media data should also be giving the establishment media, the DNC, and the Clinton campaign pause. For what it's worth, Trump has 12.8 million Twitter followers and Hillary Clinton has only 10.1 million. Moreover, according to The Washington Examiner, 41 percent of Hillary's alleged followers are fakes, created by a Clinton's paid trolls! In contrast, The Daily Caller says that Trump's followers are 90% real having previous voting records. Other sources report that Trump has 12,174,358 Facebook "likes" compared to Hillary Clinton's 4,835,959.

Absent a totally fraudulent election, it appears likely that there will be a "Trump Slide" on November 8th. The establishment would be well advised to respect the people's wishes.

FJB

This site is not affiliated with any political party. Its goals are to advocate for individual liberty, traditional morality, and domestic peace and to resist all forms of tyranny and statism. It reflects the point of view of a life-long constitutionalist and recovering Republican. If you are among the millions trying to understand what has happened to the GOP, please visit "Who Killed the Republican Party?" If you agree with the content of this post, please feel free to print and distribute it or forward the link to your political representatives at the state and federal level Thank you for your interest.  

Just a Quick Note on the Eve of Destruction!

Well, are you properly discouraged yet?

Clinton's paid DNC trolls are out in force on every media outlet and virtually every politically-oriented web site still accepting comments. Their purpose (and indeed the purpose of ALL establishment media) is to create the APPEARANCE of such a large Clinton lead that no one will dare challenge "official" (and false) results when the Presidency is awarded to Hillary Rodham Clinton on November 8th. I say "awarded" advisedly because, in the real world, she cannot possibly win. Every word to come out of the establishment pushing Hillary Clinton's inevitable victory is a lie. 

The job of the establishment media in national elections is not to change opposing beliefs. It is rather to convince the opposition that anti-establishment beliefs are in the minority and therefore cannot “win”. Faced with a 24/7 media blizzard dedicated to the demonization of Donald Trump, many people are reluctant to publically share their "out of the mainstream" pro-Trump views with pollsters (or others). Historically, that public reticence goes away in the privacy of the voting booth. That is why, assuming votes are actually tallied honestly, the establishment is about to experience a rude surprise of its own making. It has fallen into the trap of believing its own propaganda. Add to that the probability that inflated pro-Hillary poll numbers will be a disincentive for her less motivated supporters to go to the polls. For more on this, you might want to consider the Abilene Paradox. 

All objective unmanipulable measures (primary turnout, physically-observed rally crowd sizes, social media follower counts, online poll votes by real people who care enough to participate, unbiased real polls NOT controlled by establishment tools (Rasmussen, etc.)) contradict the establishment's desperately premature claim of an impending and inevitable Clinton Landslide. It must also be understood that tonight's "fair and balanced" debate moderator, Chris Wallace, has been a registered Democrat for more than 30 years and will, in all probability, function as the establishment's designated assassin, charged with administering a very public coup de gras to Donald Trump.

The establishment is making a tragic miscalculation. The level of public discontent, fury and outright hatred that the public feels toward the political establishment and its controlled media is very real and ever-increasing . The establishment believes it will be able to maintain control through the too-clever-by-half corrupt antics of the type O'Keefe has been so brilliantly exposing, antics which only add fuel to the fire. The establishment will overplay its hand at its own peril. 

Revolution is in the offing, sooner rather than later.

High Treason: The Real Elephant in the Room!

The most important outcome of this election cycle is the exposure of American "democracy" as a total fraud. The American people have awakened to the understanding that they are not free. They are ruthlessly ruled by an elitist Establishment oligarchy that employs mass media "news" and "entertainment" outlets as weapons to maintain control. This discovery has shocked and infuriated millions who previously believed in the "Two Party" and "free press" model of American politics.

How Corrupt are the National "News" Media?

Consider the failure of all national "news" outlets to adequately cover what should have been a career-ending bombshell: Wikileaks' disclosure of e-mails proving that both Hillary Clinton and President Obama knew more than two years ago that Saudi Arabia and Qatar are directly funding ISIS--and hid this fact from the American people. Details here.

Instead of reacting with outrage after learning that our Sunni Arab "allies" are betraying us amidst our alleged war against ISIS, virtually all establishment-controlled "news" outlets ignored this stunning news. What did they do instead? They chattered endlessly about an 11-year-old video of a private Donald Trump conversation all the while weaving in unsubstantiated claims by the Clinton campaign and the Obama administration that Hillary's e-mails were "hacked" by the evil Russians and therefore shouldn't be considered valid.

Why would establishment-controlled media behave this way? Perhaps for the same reasons that the recently released 28 pages of the Congressional 9-11 report remain heavily redacted. Given the just-disclosed official cover up of Saudi Arabia's and Qatar's funding of ISIS, it raises serious questions as to the identify of the hidden 9-11 perpetrators who are still being officially protected by those redactions,

All in The Family

The real story behind the Trump tape isn't what Trump said (which was certainly inappropriate and for which he has apologized). No, the real story is that the national leadership of the Republican Party in the person of Speaker Paul Ryan was responsible for releasing that tape to the Washington Post in order to destroy the candidacy of Donald Trump and assure the election of Hillary Clinton. Ryan's chief advisor, Dan Senor, was outed by his own wife as being responsible for that release.

Many Americans will be stunned to learn that the Bush and Clinton families are very close friends, often taking vacations together. And isn't it convenient that Billy Bush, the man that taped Donald Trump's famous "locker room" comment, is the nephew of George H. W. Bush, the 41st President of the United States. George W. Bush, the 43rd President, and former Florida governor Jeb Bush are Billy Bush's cousins. Somehow CNN, MSNBC, CBS, ABC and FOX News "forgot" to report that "coincidence".

Who Are You Going to Believe: The Media or Your Own Lying Eyes?

To fully grasp what is happening, it is necessary to understand the mission of establishment news media outlets as population control weapons. They lie repeatedly, not to change what you think (which is impossible)--but to create a false impression in your mind of what everyone else thinks. If they can make a substantial portion of the population believe they are outnumbered, they hope to discourage them from voting. That is why it is so important for the establishment to discredit online polls.

Virtually every online poll, reflecting the input of real people who cared enough to vote, showed Donald Trump "winning" both debates by overwhelming margins. In each case, the controlled establishment media spent the days after the debates "debunking" those results 24/7 and quoting the biased opinions of "journalists and pundits" as to the the identity of the "real winner" (Hillary). The problem is, the establishment media can spin the meaning of polls. However, they cannot spin the crowd size of Hillary's rallies as compared to Donald Trump's. Listen carefully to hear the public's opinion of the establishment media (particularly CNN).

Treason?

But are these politicians really guilty of treason? In a word, yes!

The dictionary defines Treason as "the crime of betraying one's country, especially by attempting to kill the sovereign or overthrow the government." Republican and Democrat members of the establishment are engaged in the slow motion overthrow of our government. They are abolishing our nation's borders, flooding the country with Third World aliens who have no interest in our constitution or our heritage, subverting our electoral process by allowing people to vote who are not eligible to participate, destroying our currency and our free economy, and imposing their perverted beliefs on people of faith.

If Hillary is awarded the Presidency (she cannot win it legitimately), we must be prepared very shortly to fight for our children's futures and for our very lives. In that event, remember who brought us to this place.

FJB

This site is not affiliated with any political party. Its goals are to advocate for individual liberty, traditional morality, and domestic peace and to resist all forms of tyranny and statism. It reflects the point of view of a life-long constitutionalist and recovering Republican. If you are among the millions trying to understand what has happened to the GOP, please visit "Who Killed the Republican Party?" If you agree with the content of this post, please feel free to print and distribute it or forward the link to your political representatives at the state and federal level Thank you for your interest.  

Operation Destroy Trump: The Oligarchy's Last Stand!

America Post Hillary

Donald Trump is not a perfect human being or an ideal candidate. There are aspects of his personality and his past that are repellent. He is, however, America's last best hope for peace and freedom at this critical moment in the nation's history.

A corrupt gang of Establishment thugs is engaged in a coordinated campaign to destroy Trump and maintain control of official Washington. All mass media outlets have been deployed in the effort. Only the bipartisan coordination of the effort remains hidden from public view.

Active participants include Hillary Clinton and her campaign apparatus; Barack Obama, every agency of his administration (including the Justice Department, the FBI, and the Defense and State Departments); the entire national leadership of the Democrat Party; Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, House Speaker Paul Ryan, the entire national leadership of the Republican Party; and all national media outlets including the broadcast networks, FOX News, CNN, The New York Times, the Washington Post, and the remaining print "newspapers" of the nation's largest urban centers.

The game plan is as simple as it is obvious. On the eve of a crtically important televised debate:

1. Publicize Trump's unsavory (but private) decade-old comments about women in an orchestrated full spectrm 24/7 media campaign of manufactured outrage.
2. Hypocritically ignore Hillary Clinton's support for her sexual predator husband's serial molestations and her vicious personal attacks on his victims' truthfulness and character.
3. Divert public attention from Hillary's unethical and criminal conduct by having the Obama administration blame "the Russians" for the leaks information damaging to her.
4. Systematically bring forward prominent national Republican Politicians (many of whom were part of the "Never Trump" movement from the beginning) to loudly announce their withdrawal of support for Trump and demand that he step down. 

How very desperate they must be! With the composition of the Supreme Court, the trajectory of the national economy, and the very survival of the nation at stake, any politician who believes that Trump's off-color comments made 11 years ago are important enough that Hillary Clinton should be awarded the Presidency is far too stupid to hold public office.

Nothing more need be said.

FJB

This site is not affiliated with any political party. Its goals are to advocate for individual liberty, traditional morality, and domestic peace and to resist all forms of tyranny and statism. It reflects the point of view of a life-long constitutionalist and recovering Republican. If you are among the millions trying to understand what has happened to the GOP, please visit "Who Killed the Republican Party?" If you agree with the content of this post, please feel free to print and distribute it or forward the link to your political representatives at the state and federal level Thank you for your interest.