Friday, February 26, 2016

Beware The Ides of March, Mr. Trump!

The Ides of March (March 15th) has long been associated with momentous events that changed the course of history,  For example:
  • In 44 B.C., Roman Emperor Julius Caesar was assassinated by Brutus.
  • Czar Nicholas II of Russia abdicated his throne on March 15, 1917 ushering in Communist rule. The Czar and his family were taken captive and executed by firing squad the following year.
  • On March 15, 1939, Nazi troops seized the provinces of Bohemia and Moravia, effectively wiping Czechoslovakia off the map.
"The Donald" has filled the establishment Republican Wing of the Washington Party with shock and awe as he charges through the Republican Primaries, leaving a debris field littered with shattered illusions in his wake. Assuming Trump is real, it is wonderful to watch them stammer. Is Trump real? I don't pretend to know but he sure has all the right enemies.

The Washington Party's Democrat Wing has its own equally-hilarious problems. From out of nowhere, 74-year-old Bernie Sanders, Vermont's Socialist Senator, is offering a serious challenge to the Establishment Democrat's heir apparent, Hillary Rodham Clinton. Perhaps more importantly. although not often mentioned, participation in the process on the Democrat Side is down by more than thirty percent from 2012 levels.

These developments amount to a political revolution and pose a significant threat to civil peace. The Establishment Oligarchs who have run the Welfare/Warfare State since at least the end of World War II are unlikely to surrender their power and go peacefully into the dark night.

The Trump candidacy in paticular is a "Black Swan" event of the first magnitude,
Definition of black swan
An event or occurrence that deviates beyond what is normally expected of a situation and that would be extremely difficult to predict. This term was popularized by Nassim Nicholas Taleb's book "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable."  Mr Taleb is a finance professor and former Wall Street trader.
Mr Taleb suggests his idea has been misunderstood. The problem, he told the CFA Institute in 2008, is not that black swans occur often.  Rather, it is that they have truly catastrophic and unpredictable effects when they do happen, and so risk managers should concentrate on guarding against them [emphasis added]. 
Here's the problem.

The Establishment has a very small and rapidly narrowing window of opportunity to stop Trump's brazen charge. March 1st is "Super Tuesday". On that date, twelve U.S. states and one U.S. Territory will select delegates to each party's respective nominating convention. Then, on March 15th, six large U.S. states will select their delegates.

The very bi-partisan Establishment acts as though Trump's campaign poses an existential threat to its hold on power and that may very well be the case. They feel as though they must stop him but if Trump's momentum hasn't been checked by March 15th, he will be nearly impossible to stop --by political means.

Be very careful, Mr. Trump. Your enemies truly have very few scruples.


This site is not affiliated with any political party. Its goals are to advocate for individual liberty, traditional morality, and domestic peace and to resist all forms of tyranny and statism. It reflects the point of view of a life-long constitutionalist and recovering Republican. If you are among the millions trying to understand what has happened to the GOP, please visit "Who Killed the Republican Party?" If you agree with the content of this post, please feel free to print and distribute it or forward the link to your political representatives at the state and federal level Thank you for your interest.